Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.043938 0.051179 0.059234 0.068856 0.080041 0.092635 0.107898
2025-11-09 0.031439 0.040543 0.051727 0.066478 0.085434 0.108994 0.140538
2025-11-16 0.024905 0.034715 0.047719 0.066220 0.091890 0.126296 0.176010
2025-11-23 0.020437 0.030366 0.044373 0.065581 0.096918 0.141603 0.210340
2025-11-30 0.017715 0.027813 0.042844 0.066854 0.104312 0.160652 0.252126
2025-12-07 0.015172 0.025019 0.040395 0.066159 0.108346 0.174888 0.288252
2025-12-14 0.012935 0.022305 0.037588 0.064337 0.110107 0.185495 0.319684
2025-12-21 0.011116 0.019976 0.035022 0.062435 0.111293 0.195049 0.350295
2025-12-28 0.010119 0.018900 0.034382 0.063672 0.117895 0.214386 0.400132
2026-01-04 0.009135 0.017693 0.033326 0.063967 0.122759 0.231123 0.447296
2026-01-11 0.008269 0.016577 0.032272 0.064082 0.127225 0.247553 0.495839
2026-01-18 0.007617 0.015779 0.031699 0.065014 0.133318 0.267675 0.553983
2026-01-25 0.007125 0.015251 0.031611 0.066958 0.141798 0.293739 0.628070
2026-02-01 0.006277 0.013870 0.029638 0.064777 0.141541 0.302250 0.667079
2026-02-08 0.005716 0.013023 0.028657 0.064551 0.145368 0.319647 0.727350
2026-02-15 0.005190 0.012179 0.027568 0.063933 0.148227 0.335264 0.785687
2026-02-22 0.004865 0.011747 0.027326 0.065175 0.155408 0.361211 0.870884
2026-03-01 0.004439 0.011018 0.026316 0.064498 0.158034 0.377135 0.934651
2026-03-08 0.003989 0.010170 0.024923 0.062721 0.157792 0.386328 0.983362
2026-03-15 0.003585 0.009382 0.023573 0.060868 0.157110 0.394357 1.030216
2026-03-22 0.003394 0.009108 0.023447 0.062073 0.164274 0.422453 1.131859
2026-03-29 0.003170 0.008721 0.022989 0.062361 0.169103 0.445270 1.222758
2026-04-05 0.002958 0.008336 0.022489 0.062473 0.173484 0.467463 1.314957